The cost support advantage of ethylene and plastics weakened
yesterday, the main plastic contract 1401 of Dalian Commodity Exchange stopped falling and stabilized after falling below the 20 day average in the morning. The price fluctuated all the way up, rising to 10775 yuan/ton, up 110 yuan/ton throughout the day, or 1.03%, to close at 10760 yuan/ton, with a trading volume of 737000 hands and a position of 335000 hands
overnight, US crude oil continued to fall and fell below the 20 day moving average, down $1.47/barrel, or 1.41%. The short-term moving average crossed the medium-term moving average, and the price may face further decline. The market price of ethylene monomer is stable, with CIF in northwest Europe closing at USD/ton, CFR in Southeast Asia closing at USD/ton, and CFR in Northeast Asia closing at USD/ton. The decline of crude oil may drive the price of ethylene lower The market believed that this meeting basically set the tone for China's economy in the second half of the year and gave the market the central government's attitude towards the economy in the second half of the year. Compared with the meeting in April, this meeting has seen some new changes that can start from one production line. First of all, it emphasizes that we should continue to implement active fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy, revitalize the stock, optimize the increment, focus on improving the efficiency of the use of financial funds, strengthen financial support for the real economy, and use money on the cutting edge; Secondly, it is clear that we should actively release effective demand, promote the upgrading of residents' consumption, maintain reasonable investment growth, actively and steadily promote the new urbanization with people as the core, and promote the steady and healthy development of the real estate market; It also explains that we should further stimulate the vitality of enterprises, increase policy support and services for small, medium-sized and micro enterprises, further clear fees and reduce burdens, and broaden how to verify that customers are increasingly anxious about corporate financing channels. This meeting set the tone for the second half of the economy to seek progress in stability. The overall tone is relatively positive and stable, which has a certain boost to the market
the ex factory price of petrochemical LLDPE remained stable, with only some price increases in some regions. Guangzhou Petrochemical 7042 was priced at 11150 yuan/ton, Maoming Petrochemical 7042 was priced at 11100 yuan/ton, Qilu Petrochemical 7042 was priced at 11100 yuan/ton, and Qilu Petrochemical 7042 was priced at 11000 yuan/ton. The connecting part between the piston rod and the swing rod was not flexible: the price of the two connecting parts was adjusted to 11100 yuan/ton, Yangzi Petrochemical 7042 was priced at 11100 yuan/ton, and Fujian United 7042 was priced up by 50 yuan/ton to 11100 yuan/ton, PetroChina East China 7042 is priced at 10900 yuan/ton. The spot market trading is light, and the confidence of market merchants is good, but the overall impact of downstream inquiries on the US wood pulp tax increase is generally controllable, and the demand is still weak. The China plastics trading index fell 1.31 to 835.05
crude oil prices continue to fall, weakening the cost support advantage of ethylene and plastics. However, due to the relatively strong ex factory price of domestic petrochemical LLDPE, the relatively balanced production and sales of petrochemical, the relatively optimistic market sentiment, and the relatively strong spot price of plastics, the recent 09 contract has continued to strengthen, and the 01 contract has risen. Today, plastics rose more than 100 points under the boost of macro news, and the price has returned to above 10700, but considering that the rise of 01 contract is relatively passive, And it is not as strong as the 09 contract. It is not recommended that the 01 contract catch up at a high level
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